The South Australian Political Landscape

[Jimmy_041]

Priest now in front by 34

There should be about 2,000 postals that haven't been counted yet. You'd expect them to favour Patterson very narrowly. So this could be a real nailbiter.

Preference flows

Preferences to Liberal 49.0%
Preferences to Labor 51.0%

[dedja]

If Patto loses, he should go back to the Holdfast Bay council and dethrone the clown masquerading as the Mayor.

[RB]

Priest now in front by 34

There should be about 2,000 postals that haven't been counted yet. You'd expect them to favour Patterson very narrowly. So this could be a real nailbiter.

Preference flows

Preferences to Liberal 49.0%
Preferences to Labor 51.0%

Postal votes are breaking 53%-47% in Patterson's favour so far (512 v 454). Generally the Liberals' advantage is a tad lower in late postals compared to early postals.

Patterson also has a narrow primary vote lead, so if all preferences break 50-50 he wins.

There may be some more absent votes or other exotic vote types that help Priest.

[dedja]

Priest now in front by 34

There should be about 2,000 postals that haven't been counted yet. You'd expect them to favour Patterson very narrowly. So this could be a real nailbiter.

Preference flows

Preferences to Liberal 49.0%
Preferences to Labor 51.0%

Postal votes are breaking 53%-47% in Patterson's favour so far (512 v 454). Generally the Liberals' advantage is a tad lower in late postals compared to early postals.

Patterson also has a narrow primary vote lead, so if all preferences break 50-50 he wins.

There may be some more absent votes or other exotic vote types that help Priest.

Priest will win, he has the backing of The Lord.

[Jimmy_041]

Priest now in front by 34

There should be about 2,000 postals that haven't been counted yet. You'd expect them to favour Patterson very narrowly. So this could be a real nailbiter.

Preference flows

Preferences to Liberal 49.0%
Preferences to Labor 51.0%

Postal votes are breaking 53%-47% in Patterson's favour so far (512 v 454). Generally the Liberals' advantage is a tad lower in late postals compared to early postals.

Patterson also has a narrow primary vote lead, so if all preferences break 50-50 he wins.

There may be some more absent votes or other exotic vote types that help Priest.

Sorry, Pollbludger's headline is wrong
The correct number are as you said
https://pollbludger.net/sa2026/Results/ ... s=Morphett

Priest is another Annabel Digance

[dedja]

Priest ahead by 167 votes.

[dedja]

Morphett falls to Labor, 2 undecided seats left, both with ONP leading.

Labor 34
Liberal 5
ONP 2
independent 4

[dedja]

The Electoral Commission just ‘found’ 81 ballots not previously counted in Narungga, so are conducting a partial recount.

ONP only ‘won’ the seat by 58 votes.

Oopsies

[Jimmy_041]

The Electoral Commission just ‘found’ 81 ballots not previously counted in Narungga, so are conducting a partial recount.

ONP only ‘won’ the seat by 58 votes.

Oopsies

How does that happen?

Very Trumpesque

[Jim05]

The Electoral Commission just ‘found’ 81 ballots not previously counted in Narungga, so are conducting a partial recount.

ONP only ‘won’ the seat by 58 votes.

Oopsies

600 ballots across the state missed

[RB]

The Electoral Commission just ‘found’ 81 ballots not previously counted in Narungga, so are conducting a partial recount.

ONP only ‘won’ the seat by 58 votes.

Oopsies

How does that happen?

Quite the balls-up.

Looks like the returning officer in Stuart was meant to have the ballots, which were absentee votes, sent to Adelaide to be forwarded to their home electorates and then counted. Seems they sat on them for some reason. I'm not quite sure how that happens.

Antony Green discusses it here:
https://antonygreen.com.au/sa2026-it-tu ... aint-over/

The 81 Narungga votes, 77 ordinaries and four declaration votes, were cast in Stuart. So were the 550 or so votes for other districts. All of these were forwarded to the Returning Officer for Stuart located in Port Augusts.

All of these were sorted into source and the district the votes were for. These votes, like all Absent votes, were not counted on election night. Absent votes are not counted until returned to their ‘home’ district. So what happened to the boxes?

The three boxes were sealed with the bundles of absent votes. The procedure is the boxes should have been sent to Adelaide post-election to take part in what is known as “Absent exchange”. There, like all other absent votes, the ballot papers would have been removed, sorted by district, and forward to the relevant returning officer for the home district.

But they weren’t.

So why did the returning officer not send the boxes to Adelaide? Good question.

[dedja]

ONP increase margin in Narungga after partial recount from 58 to 74 votes so declaration stands.

[Booney]

Now she's just got to get her head around going to town to do her job.

[Jimmy_041]

Now she's just got to get her head around going to town to do her job.

#fakenewsstacey