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Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 10:00 am
by another grub
Interestring day at Cairns. Only 3 jocks under $126

Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 10:09 am
by OnSong
another grub wrote:Interestring day at Cairns. Only 3 jocks under $126

What I would do for a Ryan Wiggins flight delay.
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 12:02 pm
by OnSong
OnSong wrote:McEvoy out at Wyong. Only had two rides and the first of them looks likely to go to J Collett who is $1.65 at the moment.
Had a small spec J Collett wins
2+ @ $2.30
3+ @ $8.50
UniBet
JC gets the pickup ride.
I went to crush the wins market harder but could only get $100 on.
TABTouch/SB still up
1+ $1.22
2+ $2.5
3+ $8.50
4+ $71
5+ $1501
Neds Updated:
1+ $1.05
2+ $1.75
3+ $4.50
4+ $19
5+ $?
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 12:16 pm
by OnSong
My bets:
Jockey Challenge -
J Collett $100 @ $1.53, now $1.18
Jockey Wins - J Collett
1+ $200 @ $1.22
2+ $65 @ $2.55
3+ $35 @ $9
4+ $8.5 @ $73.5 - can get $81 UniBet

5+ $2 @ $1501
TAB's J Collett wins market:
2+ $1.50
3+ $3.50
4+ $14
5+ $81

Updated as I was able to get more on at $1.22.
FMD please cover the 1x win

Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 12:16 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
Anyone see the highlights of Brazil biggest race with the jock standing up with the "look at me" pose and almost got rolled.
It's how I imagine Grub to be like in the saddle

Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 12:49 pm
by OnSong
I did the sums on the current fixed prices of Collett's best 5 rides and multied up, it's about 200/1. Give him strength! I had another $1 on at $1751
On the flip side, TabTouch has taken the market down now so I'm hopelessly exposed if he fails to win a race. Pray to the overs gods.
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 3:22 pm
by OnSong
So...what have we learned from this experience?

Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 3:44 pm
by OnSong
You have got to be kidding me. Overs gods nowhere to be seen.
Only got the 1+ market left and that's not until the last.
He's only got 5 points so far too. Bayliss in front on 6 with a ride to come.
On at the overs but getting absolutely crucified and it hurts.

Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 4:32 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
OnSong wrote:So...what have we learned from this experience?

FTP
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 5:03 pm
by OnSong
OnSong wrote:My bets:
Jockey Challenge -
J Collett $100 @ $1.53, now $1.18Jockey Wins - J Collett
1+ $200 @ $1.222+ $65 @ $2.55
3+ $35 @ $9
4+ $8.5 @ $73.5 - can get $81 UniBet

5+ $2 @ $1501
TAB's J Collett wins market:
2+ $1.50
3+ $3.50
4+ $14
5+ $81

Updated as I was able to get more on at $1.22.
FMD please cover the 1x win

Had to wait all day to cover the 1 win.
Really annoyed not to get to two but we take the JC win and we take the 1x win collect to finish with a return of $397 from a $410.50 outlay.
Could have been a disaster there. My butthole is still puckering like a pufferfish on the Cowell jetty.
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 5:18 pm
by Brodlach
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Tue Jun 24, 2025 5:59 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
a small loss just to give the bookies hope and will atleast let you on tomorrow
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Wed Jun 25, 2025 11:28 am
by OnSong
What's happening at Gawler?
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Wed Jun 25, 2025 11:37 am
by Brodlach
What do you mean?
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Wed Jun 25, 2025 11:51 am
by OnSong
Toeroek and Oppermann now 2nd and 3rd favourites behind Holder. They're AOJ in the SB market @ $5.50. Toeroek is $4 now with TAB.
Worth a pineapple but noting Holder retains favouritism.
Quinella bet on Holder/Toeroek is $9.50 on TABTouch. Would think that would be half that now.
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Wed Jun 25, 2025 11:53 am
by OnSong
Can also get $9 Pointsbet for that quinella if you don't have TabTouch.
Toeroek is $11 PB if you want to get on him by himself.
L Neindorf is out
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Wed Jun 25, 2025 12:16 pm
by OnSong
My maths says if you’ve got Toeroek at $4 and Oppermann at $7, AOJ on Sportsbet should be $2.54.
Probably shorter if you're including those riders $15+ as well not listed in the market.
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Wed Jun 25, 2025 12:20 pm
by OnSong
SB by far the biggest overs on AOJ but BetR, TabTouch still don't have the right price about AOJ but you're not getting Oppermann in that AOJ group in those markets.
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Wed Jun 25, 2025 12:41 pm
by OnSong
Holder out from $1.70 to $2.30 now prior to R1. Interesting...
Re: Jockey Challenge

Posted:
Wed Jun 25, 2025 12:51 pm
by OnSong
I think that's a good result for AOJ backers in R1...